IAS/UPSC Coaching Institute  

Article 1: Outbound force

Why in news: The U.S. has completed its military withdrawal from Iraq after more than two decades, bringing a major phase of American involvement to an end and reshaping Iraq’s security environment.

Key Details

  • Beginning of intervention: The U.S. entered Iraq in 2003, removing Saddam Hussein’s regime over alleged WMD and terrorism concerns.
  • Return of troops: American forces came back in 2014 after ISIS seized significant territory in Iraq and Syria.
  • Changing security balance: With U.S. forces gone, Iraq must take greater responsibility for its own securityand counter-terrorism efforts.
  • Iran’s influence: Iran-backed political and armed groups have gained considerable influence in Iraq, affecting the country’s internal and regional dynamics.
  • Regional significance: The withdrawal reflects the changing balance of power in West Asia and raises questions about future U.S. involvement in the region.

Emerging Climate Challenge

  • India has improved its ability to forecast cyclones and extreme weather events.
  • The India Meteorological Department (IMD) provides alerts for events such as heavy rainfall and heat waves.
  • India is entering a potentially difficult post-monsoon period after a 12.6% rainfall deficit during the southwest monsoon.
  • The IMD expects very dry conditions across much of the country in the remaining months of the year.
  • A strengthening El Niño could increase stress on farms, forests, wetlands and rivers.

Importance of Local Ecological Conditions

  • The impact of drought can vary between ecosystems even when they experience similar rainfall deficits.
  • Factors such as soil moisture, vegetation, groundwater and human pressure determine ecosystem resilience.
  • Wetlands may also differ in their ability to withstand prolonged dry periods.
  • A strong El Niño may push already stressed ecosystems beyond ecological thresholds.
  • Micro-monitoring can identify vulnerable ecosystems and help direct limited resources towards them.

Need for Field-Level Monitoring

  • Satellite observations have greatly improved weather forecasting and disaster management.
  • However, satellite data need to be complemented by ground-level observations.
  • Monitoring soil moisture, vegetation stress and animal movement can help detect unusually dry forest areas.
  • Early detection can help reduce the risk of forest fires and ecological damage.
  • Monitoring coral reef thermal stress can provide information about marine ecosystem health and coastal vulnerability.

Himalayan Ecosystems and Glacial Lakes

  • Uttarakhand’s real-time monitoring of glacial lakes is an important example of field-level ecological monitoring.
  • At Vasundhara Tal, sensors are being used to monitor:
    • Water levels
    • Snow depth
    • Other physical changes in the glacial lake
  • These observations can be linked with early-warning systems.
  • Warmer winters, changing western disturbances and declining snow cover are altering the Himalayan moisture cycle.
  • These changes can increase forest-fire vulnerability before spring.

Need for an Integrated Monitoring Network

  • Around 200 ecologists recently called for an emergency ecosystem-wide monitoring network.
  • Ecological monitoring in India is currently spread across research institutions, government departments, universities and citizen groups.
  • Better coordination among these institutions can create a unified ecological monitoring system.
  • Such a system can identify both ecosystem vulnerability and resilience.
  • Strengthening ecological monitoring will help India respond not only to El Niño-related stress but also to longer-term climate variability.

Conclusion

The U.S. withdrawal marks an important shift in the West Asian strategic landscape. Iraq now faces the challenge of maintaining security while balancing relations with competing regional powers. Strengthening state institutions, national security forces and political stability will be essential. For the wider region, the episode highlights the limits of prolonged military intervention and the importance of regional diplomacy and sovereign institutions.

Descriptive question:

Examine the geopolitical consequences of the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq for Iraq’s internal stability, Iran’s regional influence and the wider West Asian security architecture. (150 words, 10 marks)